Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.001589 0.001652 0.001717 0.001789 0.001867 0.001949 0.002042
2025-07-20 0.001480 0.001569 0.001665 0.001776 0.001902 0.002041 0.002209
2025-07-27 0.001413 0.001522 0.001641 0.001785 0.001954 0.002150 0.002398
2025-08-03 0.001348 0.001469 0.001605 0.001772 0.001975 0.002220 0.002543
2025-08-10 0.001310 0.001442 0.001593 0.001785 0.002025 0.002323 0.002738
2025-08-17 0.001266 0.001405 0.001567 0.001775 0.002043 0.002388 0.002885
2025-08-24 0.001224 0.001366 0.001536 0.001757 0.002048 0.002431 0.003006
2025-08-31 0.001210 0.001362 0.001545 0.001789 0.002118 0.002568 0.003276
2025-09-07 0.001187 0.001344 0.001536 0.001796 0.002154 0.002658 0.003486
2025-09-14 0.001155 0.001314 0.001510 0.001778 0.002154 0.002694 0.003614
2025-09-21 0.001123 0.001282 0.001479 0.001753 0.002141 0.002709 0.003706
2025-09-28 0.001098 0.001258 0.001458 0.001739 0.002143 0.002748 0.003844
2025-10-05 0.001055 0.001211 0.001406 0.001682 0.002080 0.002681 0.003787
2025-10-12 0.001035 0.001192 0.001392 0.001676 0.002092 0.002735 0.003963
2025-10-19 0.001023 0.001184 0.001389 0.001685 0.002129 0.002831 0.004237
2025-10-26 0.001003 0.001165 0.001373 0.001674 0.002132 0.002872 0.004407
2025-11-02 0.000993 0.001158 0.001372 0.001686 0.002171 0.002978 0.004739
2025-11-09 0.000977 0.001142 0.001358 0.001678 0.002178 0.003026 0.004951
2025-11-16 0.000959 0.001123 0.001339 0.001662 0.002171 0.003049 0.005106
2025-11-23 0.000957 0.001126 0.001351 0.001691 0.002239 0.003217 0.005683
2025-11-30 0.000947 0.001118 0.001347 0.001697 0.002270 0.003317 0.006112
2025-12-07 0.000931 0.001101 0.001330 0.001681 0.002261 0.003338 0.006312
2025-12-14 0.000913 0.001081 0.001308 0.001658 0.002239 0.003330 0.006420